Fantasy Baseball Weekend Preview: 4/6-4/7

Padres Starter Chris Paddack (Photo: Jake Roth-USA TODAY Sports)

Padres Starter Chris Paddack (Photo: Jake Roth-USA TODAY Sports)

In this space each Friday, I’ll be previewing the weekend ahead in Major League Baseball. These will come from DFS, season long, and baseball fan enjoyment perspectives. At the end of each post I’ll add in some waiver wire pick ups to make before your deadline on Sunday.

Saturday

Pitching Matchups

  • López, KC @ Moore, DET

  • Corbin, WAS @ Matz, NYM

  • Roark, CIN @ Williams, PIT

  • Pineda, MIN @ Arrieta, PHI

  • Leake, SEA @ Giolito, CWS

  • Paddack, SD @ Wacha, STL

  • Smyly, TEX @ Skaggs, LAA

  • Opener, TB @ Samardzija, SF

  • Pannone, TOR @ Carrasco, CLE

  • Happ, NYY @ Bundy, BAL

  • Hamels, CHC @ Burnes, MIL

  • Brooks, OAK @ Miley, HOU

  • Alcantara, MIA @ Wright, ATL

  • Price, BOS @ Weaver, ARI

  • Buehler, LAD @ Gray, COL

My first reaction to the pitching on Saturday is… yuck. Looking over the game scores from EPSN’s Tristan Cockcroft, I see tons of 50’s and below. That’s very bad. Carrasco, Corbin, and Buehler are your only 60+ game score guys and they’re sure to be priced high. I’m finding that there will likely be value with Matz, Williams, Wacha, and Pannone should be fairly cheap and they’re projected to score in the mid-50’s. We’ll have to check the prices on these guys but it might be a day where you’ll have to pay up for the top options.

From a season long perspective, I’m not starting Gray, Hamels, Burnes, or Pineda. Streaming options include Williams, Pannone, and Leake.

I’m excited to see how Paddack pitches against a good offense. Still, the Cardinals are very strikeout prone so it should be a good matchup for him. Hamels/Burnes could be facinating. Alcantara/Wright is a very underrated matchup of two good young pitchers.

Hitters to Use

The list of hitting advantages is pretty “blah” in it’s own right. Still, we’ll find some value bats to plug and play on Saturday.

Avoid using Rockies’ hitters on Saturday. I think they’ll be way overpriced due to the Coors factor.

Tigers’ bats both left and right have a good matchups against Jorge López. Miggy, Josh Harrison, and Castellanos have been rutinely undervalued to start the season. Goodrum and Stewart should be good plays as well. In the same game, Royals hitters have a good matchup with Matt Moore. Jorge Soler will be a must own against a lefty. Merrifield, Mondesi, and O’Hearn, and Gordon should have some value.

Get your Twins lefties in the order against the Jake Arrieta. This includes Rosario, Polanco, and Kepler. (This matchup will likely me moved to Sunday with an expected PPD on Friday in Philly)

Brett Gardner will be a good play as he mans his usual leadoff spot against Dylan Bundy. I also like other lefties like Greg Bird in this matchup.

That’s really it from a lefty/righty standpoint. As usual, check your weather and lineups before lock.

Sunday

Pitching Matchups

  • Germán, NYY @ Hess, BAL

  • Berríos, MIN @ Eflin, PHI

  • Keller, KC @ Ross, DET

  • Stroman, TOR @ Clevinger, CLE

  • Scherzer, WAS @ Wheeler, NYM

  • Smith, MIA @ Newcomb, ATL

  • DeSclafani, CIN @ Archer, PIT

  • LeBlanc, SEA @ Nova, CWS

  • Hendricks, CHC @ Davies, MIL

  • Fiers, OAK @ Peacock, HOU

  • Strahm, SD @ Wainwright, STL

  • Opener, TB @ Pomeranz, SF

  • Miller, TEX @ Stratton, LAA

  • TBD, BOS @ Kelly, ARI

  • Urias, LAD @ Bettis, COL

We’ve got a much more palatable pitching slate for Sunday. Scherzer is easily the top arm available but Pomeranz, Archer, Germán, Wheeler, Keller, Peacock and Clevinger have mid-50’s+ projected game scores. Pomeranz and Peacock will likely come the cheapest so they’ll be good plays. Archer could provide the most value. In his last start Clevinger has only $8,700 but I highly doubt he’ll be that cheap again as he’s the second best pitcher on this slate in my opinion. Noticably missing from this list is Jose Berríos. He’s only projected for a 52 game score and will come with a $9,000+ price tag. No thanks. Newcomb and Stroman are lower cost guys that should be fine plays. I’d avoid Strahm and DeSclafani until we see more out of them. I’d also sit Urias in Coors even though I absolutely love him as a pitcher.

Hitters to Use

Royals hitters are again a good play on Sunday. I like the lefties like Mondesi, O’Hearn, and Gordon.

🚨Stack Alert🚨 get as many Dodgers in your lineup as you possibly can. Chad Bettis is very bad and Coors is anything but forgiving to bad pitchers.

Twins lefites in Philly are again a good play.

Dont use any Mets against Scherzer. It’s just not smart to tempt the beast.

Oakland righties have a very tough matchup with Brad Peacock. I’ll be avoiding Davis, Chapman, Semien, Laureano, and Pinder.

Padres lefties (Hosmer, Cordero, and Mejia) should be good plays against Adam Wainwright. Honestly, the righties are too.

Waiver Wire Adds

Two-start pitchers

Below are low owned pitchers slated for two-start weeks during the week of April 1. Next to each pitcher are their matchups and ESPN ownership percentage.

  • Carlos Rodon (TB/@NYY) 31.8%

  • Jordan Zimmerman (CLE/@MIN) 14.1%

  • Eric Lauer (@SF/@ARI) 13.5%

  • Anibal Sanchez (@PHI/PIT) 13.4%

  • Trevor Cahill (MIL/@CHC) 5.1%

  • Brett Anderson (@BAL/@TEX) 4.1%

  • Marco Estrada (@BAL/@TEX) 3.5%

  • Felix Hernandez (@KC/@HOU) 3.4%

  • Jose Ureña (@CIN/PHI) 3.0%

  • Derek Holland (SD/COL) 2.6%

  • Jason Vargas (MIN/@ATL) 1.0%

  • Andrew Cashner (OAK/@BOS) 0.3%

  • Homer Bailey (SEA/CLE) 0.2%

Rodon is a good pitcher but these aren’t the easiest matchups. Zimmerman’s not a bad pick up really. Can’t believe I’m saying that. Eric Lauer has two great matchups. I like Anibal but not against the Phillies. The rest of these are honestly garbage. Who are the 0.2% of you that own Homer Bailey? Show yourselves!

<50% owned hitters to add

  • Randal Grichuk, TOR (39.1%)

  • Adam Frazier, PIT (38.2%)

  • Jeff McNeil, NYM (32.2%)

  • Ramon Laureano, OAK (27.2%)

  • Kole Calhoun, LAA (20.7%)

  • Ryan McMahon, COL (16.9%)

  • Franmil Reyes, SD (12.3%)

  • Omar Narvaez, SEA (12.2%)

  • Justin Bour, LAA (9.0%)

  • Jung-Ho Kang, PIT (8.9%)

  • Ryan O’Hearn, KC (5.4%)

  • Greg Bird, NYY (4.6%)

  • Josh Harrison, DET (4.2%)

  • Brandon Lowe, TB (4.2%)

Fantasy Baseball Weekend Preview: 4/13-4/14

Fantasy Baseball Weekend Preview: 3/29-3/30