In this space each Friday, I’ll be previewing the weekend ahead in Major League Baseball. These will come from DFS, season long, and baseball fan enjoyment perspectives. At the end of each post I’ll add in some waiver wire pick ups to make before your deadline on Sunday.
Cashner, BAL @ Porcello, BOS
Nova, CWS @ Sabathia, NYY
Ross, DET @ Pineda, MIN
Stratton, LAA @ Hendricks, CHC
Snell, TB @ Buchholz, TOR
Archer, PIT @ Scherzer, WAS
Freeland, COL @ Bumgarner, SF
Eflin, PHI @ Smith, MIA
Wainwright, STL vs Roark, WAS (Mexico)
Rodriguez, CLE @ Bailey, KC
Vargas, NYM @ Newcomb, ATL
Estrada, OAK @ Sampson, TEX
Strahm, SD @ Kelly, ARI
Verlander, HOU @ Hernandez, SEA
Davies, MIL @ TBD, LAD
There are a lot of ordinary pitchers slated for Saturday that I’m not all that interested in. A lot of them are sitting around 50 on Tristan H. Cockcroft’s game score on ESPN. I’m very excited for Archer/Scherzer from a fan standpoint. There should be plenty of strikeouts and I suspect that Archer will be under valued.
Blake Snell has the highest game score of the day (65) against TOR. Bumgarner/Freeland should be a low scoring affair but I figure that’ll be factored into their prices already and we won’t find much value. Matt Strahm and Merrill Kelly is a @PitcherList dream matchup. I like Pineda against Detroit as well. Verlander has the third highest game score but Seattle is mashing baseballs right now.
Zack Eflin is a great streaming option on Saturday. I love him against Miami and Caleb Smith has value in his own right.
Means, BAL @ Price, BOS
Rodón, CWS @ TBD, NYY
Zimmerman, DET @ Berríos, MIN
Cahill, LAA @ Chatwood, CHC
Morton, TB @ Stroman, TOR
Taillon, PIT @ Sánchez, WAS
Márquez, COL @ Holland, SF
Velasquez, PHI @ Ureña, MIA
Mikolas, STL v DeSclafani, WAS (Mexico)
Kluber, CLE @ Junis, KC
Anderson, OAK @ Miller, TEX
Lauer, SD @ Greinke, ARI
Cole, HOU @ Gonzales, SEA
Chacín, MIL @ TBD, LAD
deGrom, NYM @ Teheran, ATL
Kluber, Márquez, and Morton should be the highest scoring and most expensive pitchers of the day for a DFS slate that won’t include Jacob deGrom’s start. I really like Derek Holland against Colorado and their struggling offense. No one in any format, for any reason, should start Tyler Chatwood, Shelby Miller, or Brett Andersonon Sunday. I’m actually really intrigued with what Marcus Stroman is doing and I’m excited to watch him against the first place Rays. Greinke, Cole, Berríos, German, and Velasquez all have projected Game Scores in the high 50’s. German and Velasquez figure to be the value picks of that much. I’m avoiding Mikolas because I honestly don’t know much about the park factors in Monterey, Mexico. Taillon has a lower projected Game Score than you’d think (50) so I’m avoiding him as well.
Hitters to Use
Ozzie Albies and Josh Donaldson will be great values on Saturday facing a lefty (Vargas). Acuña will likely be too much money but if he’s under $5,200 I’d pay up for him.
Red Sox hitters are in for a MONSTER Saturday. The O’s pitching staff is pathetic so pay up for Betts, J.D., Benny, and Xander. Find value with Devers, Moreland, and Swihart.
Avoid White Sox’s lefties all weekend. You’re likely just using the righties anyway though. Get your MASH unit Yankees in there against Ivan Nova. Brett Gardner in particular seems like like a good play.
Jesse Winker, Joey Votto, Scott Schebler, and Tucker Barnhart should have a nice day against Adam Wainwright.
If the Indians had any good hitters I’d suggest getting them in your lineup on Saturday. I guess… Carlos Santana? Jose Ramirez is just too much money still. Royals lefties will also have a nice matchup.
Avoid Dodgers righties against Davies. He’s tough against men who stand in from that side.
Max Kepler, Jorge Polanco, Eddie Rosario, and Marwin Gonzalez are nice plays against Tyson Ross.
The Athletics are going to score 25+ runs over this 3 game series in Texas. Find value where you can but I’m seeing Matt Chapman still too cheap. The Rangers’ righties will have good matchups all weekend but they don’t have a lot of those. Delino Desheilds and Elvis Andrus are about as good as it gets.
Matt Carpenter and Kolton Wong have good matchups this weekend.
The Mariners are mashing baseballs but face very tough matchups this weekend in the Astros pitchers.
Waiver Wire Adds
Below are low owned pitchers slated for two-start weeks during the week of April 1. Next to each pitcher are their matchups and ESPN ownership percentage.
Dylan Bundy (@TB/MIN) 29.2%
Freddy Peralta (STL/LAD) 19.0%
Mike Leake (CLE/@LAA) 18.0%
Aaron Sanchez (@MIN/@OAK) 16.8%
Derek Rodriguez (@WSH/@PIT) 16.6%
Brandon Woodruff (STL/LAD) 15.4%
Trevor Richards (CHC/WSH) 13.4%
Reynaldo López (KC/@DET) 12.4%
Mike Minor (LAA/HOU) 11.5%
Jake Odorizzi (TOR/@BAL) 9.8%
Matt Harvey (@TEX/SEA) 4.4%
Tyler Mahle (@LAD/@SD) 4.3%
Felix Peña (@TEX/SEA) 0.9%
Jorge López (@CWS/@NYY) 0.8%
Ervin Santana (KC/@DET) 0.7%
Heath Fillmyer (@CWS/@NYY) 0.1%
This list stinks on ice. Dylan “Dinger” Bundy? No thanks. Freddy Peralta and Brandon Woodruff against STL/LAD in Miller Park? Full stop. Mike Leake is gross. If I HAD to pick someone off this list I’d choose Reynaldo López.
<40% owned hitters to add
Daniel Vogelbach, SEA (37.2%)
Evan Longoria, SF (32.9%)
Willians Astudillo, MIN (31.9%)
Ramon Laureano, OAK (30.7%)
Jeff McNeil, NYM (30.6%)
Jorge Soler, KC (19.8%)
Kendrys Morales, OAK (17.3%)
Chad Pinder, OAK (14.6%)
Garrett Hampson, COL (10.8%)
Franmil Reyes, SD (9.7%)
Justin Bour, LAA (6.8%)
Robbie Grossman, OAK (2.6%)