Fantasy Baseball Weekend Preview: 3/29-3/30

Astros Starting Pitcher Collin McHugh

Astros Starting Pitcher Collin McHugh

In this space each Friday, I’ll be previewing the weekend ahead in Major League Baseball. These will come from DFS, season long, and baseball fan enjoyment perspectives. At the end of each post I’ll add in some waiver wire pick ups to make before your deadline on Sunday.

Saturday

Pitching Matchups

  • Syndergaard, NYM @ Strasburg, WAS

  • Karns, BAL @ Paxton, NYY

  • Williams, PIT @ Gray, CIN

  • Bauer, CLE @ Odorizzi, MIN

  • Lopez, CWS @ Junis, KC

  • Turnbill, DET @ Sanchez, TOR

  • Wilson, ATL @ Pivetta, PHI

  • Anderson, COL @ Lopez, MIA

  • McHugh, HOU @ Glasnow, TB

  • Hudson, STL @ Woodruff, MIL

  • Darvish, CHC @ Volquez, TEX

  • Rodriguez, SF @ Margevicious, SD

  • Peña, LAA @ Anderson, OAK

  • Rodriguez, BOS @ Leake, SEA

  • Godley, ARI @ Maeda, LAD

Thor v Strasburg is a matchup that injuries to both have robbed us of too often. Enjoy it while you have it. Paxton should be like for an easy win. I’m really intrigued by Sonny Gray. There’s been quite a it of buzz through Spring Training that he’s improved a bunch so I can’t to see him in his new digs. Watch Spencer Turnbill against the Blue Jays as there’s been some positve buzz about him. Don’t stack Blue Jays just because you don’t recognize the name (I didn’t either). Bryse Wilson earned the 3rd starter spot for the Braves but this is a really tough matchup for him and I wouldn’t use him in DFS or season long. Pablo Lopez against the Road Rockies is intriguing as he was lights out in Spring Training. I can’t wait to see how Collin McHugh’s stuff translates to the rotation. I’m comfortable starting him against TB. I’d avoid Dakota Hudson on Saturday because the Brewers are a nightmare of a matchup to have for your first MLB start. He’s also not a strikeout pitcher. I’ll be watching closely to see what kind of Yu Darvish we get when he faces his old squad. I’m looking for improved velocity and the ability to pitch deep into the game. Anyone know what a Margevicious is? Me neither but it’s sounds cool.

Hitters to Use

Brett Gardner should be leading off against Nate Karns and the Orioles bullpen so he’s a value play.

Reds lefties (Votto, Winker, Schebler, Barnhart) have a nice matchup with Trevor Williams in homer happy GAPB. Williams had a 4.40 FIP versus lefties last season.

Jakob Junis showed improved velocity throughout the spring so I wouldn’t stack White Sox like his 4.37 2018 ERA might make you want to.

I’d use Phillies hitters with confidence against Bryse Wilson. Harper, Herrera, and Hernandez are worth the money they’ll cost against the right handed rookie.

I still don’t trust Tyler Glasnow so I’ll be looking for cheap Astros on Saturday. Michael Brantley is a name to keep in mind.

Stacking Brewers lefties versus rookie Dakota Hudson is a prudent move. Hudson is a sinkerballer that doesn’t get many strikeouts. He’s not to be trusted in Miller Park.

Give me all the Cubs again Edinson Volquez. Anthony Rizzo is a prime candidate to score the most points on Saturday. A cheaper option would be Jason Heyward or Kyle Schwarber.

Rafael Devers is going to hit a HR off of Mike Leake. Book it.

Sunday

Pitching Matchups

  • Wheeler, NYM @ Corbin, WAS

  • Dylan Bundy, BAL @ J.A. Happ, NYY

  • Musgrove, PIT @ Roark, CIN

  • Carrasco, CLE @ Pineda, MIN

  • Giolito, CWS @ Lopez, KC

  • Moore, DET @ Thornton, TOR

  • Wright, ATL @ Arietta, PHI

  • Gray, COL @ Alcantara, MIA

  • Miley, HOU @ TBD (opener), TB

  • Wacha, STL @ Burnes, MIL

  • Hamels, CHC @ Lynn, TEX

  • Samardzija, SF @ Paddack, SD

  • Skaggs, LAA @ Montas, OAK

  • Porcello, BOS @ LeBlanc, SEA

  • Weaver, ARI @ Buehler, LAD

J.A. Happ is likely to wind up with a win in another lopsided matchup better between the Yankees and Orioles. This PIT/CIN matchup is a flip of Saturday’s. I’m very interested in Musgrove and interested in fading Roark. Pineda is a sneaky DFS play against a bad Indians lineup if you’re up for the risk. He had plenty of strikeout upside. I didn’t know who Jorge Lopez was. Same goes for Thornton but we’ve all heard of Matt Moore. Just not in a very positive light. Kyle Wright can’t be started against Philly but Jake Arrietta has some value in this matchup. Do you want to sign up for the Jon Gray experience? This’ll be one of his better matchups of the season but keep in mind that he doesn’t have typical Rockies home/road splits. It’s impossible when to predict his good and bad starts which is why I don’t own him anywhere. Wade Miley should be a nice DFS value and a quality streamer against Tampa Bay. I wouldn’t use Wacha/Burnes or Hamels/Lynn. Finally, the moment we’ve all been waiting for: Chris Paddack has arrived. There’s a 100% chance his in my DFS lineup against the Giants. E-Rod should be heavily favored to record a W. Same goes for Buehler.

Hitters to Use

I’m really out on Tanner Roark in GABP so give me Jung-Ho Kang and Josh Bell on Sunday.

Adalberto Mondesi, Yoan Moncada, Eloy Jimenez, Jose Abreu, and Whit Merrefild are a few guys I’m targeting. Giolito and Lopez should combine to give up some runs.

🚨Stack Alert🚨 Get Teoscar, Lourdes, Grichuk, and Jansen in your lineups against Matt Moore.

Chad Pinder is a great play against left handed pitching and he get to face one on Sunday. Act accordingly. I’m a big fan of Justin Bour especially against righties. I’m higher on Montas than most but he’s still a good matchup for Bour.

Boston and Seattle should be a scorefest. Find some value with Domingo Santana, Omar Narvaez, Dee Gordon, and Mallex Smith. J.D. Martinez should score the most points of the day among hitters.

Waiver Wire Adds

Two-start pitchers

Below are low owned pitchers slated for two-start weeks during the week of April 1. Next to each pitcher are their matchups and ESPN ownership percentage.

  • Steven Matz (@MIA/WSH) 33.9%

  • Matt Strahm (ARI/@STL) 28.2%

  • Luis Urias (SF/@COL) 25.1%

  • Domingo German (DET/@BAL) 4.5%

  • Caleb Smith (NYM/@ATL) 3.7%

  • Merrill Kelly (@SD/BOS) 1.8%

  • Drew Pomeranz (@LAD/TB) 1.5%

  • Zach Davies (@CIN/CHC) 1.5%

  • Drew Smyly (HOU/@LAA) 0.7%

  • Shelby Miller (HOU/@LAA) 0.5%

Strahm and German are my favorites of this group. Matz will have a tough matchup against the Nationals but he’s a good pitcher. Urias is great to start against SF but I wouldn’t want him starting in Colorado. Caleb Smith has huge strikeout potential. Pomeranz is a sneaky pick in super deep leagues.

<50% owned hitters to add

  • Jake Lamb, ARI (42.8%)

  • Shin-Soo Choo, TEX (41.8%)

  • Adam Frazier, PIT (41.4%)

  • Joc Pederson, LAD (38.6%)

  • Enrique Hernandez, LAD (24.6%)

  • Franmil Reyes, SD (15.4 %)

  • Christan Stewart, DET (14.5%)

  • Jung-Ho Kang, PIT (9.3%)

Adam Frazier should be owned way more than he is. He’s the leadoff hitter for the Pirates and he’s eligible at 2B/OF. Job and Kiké are in for a big week as they head to Colorado for the weekend. If Franmil Reyes continues to draw starts instead of Hunter Renfroe, he’s going to hit 30 HR. Stewart and Kang are underrated players that have full time jobs.

Fantasy Baseball Weekend Preview: 4/6-4/7

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