Bold Predictions: Catcher Edition
Danny Jansen finishes as a top 5 catcher
Jansen is currently going off the board as the number 9 catcher and that’ll likely be where he ends up at the end of draft season. He’s about 80 picks away from Buster Posey and while I think Jansen will have some helium, there’s no way he sniffs Buster’s ADP. You can read more about why I’m high on Jansen in my Player Spotlight.
2. Jorge Alfaro doesn’t finish in the top 25 among catchers
Alfaro was recently traded from Philadelphia to Miami in the J.T. Realmuto trade. I was already lower on Alfaro than the market (#13 ADP) and this doesn’t help at all. Marlins Park is horrendous for right-handed power, limiting Alfaro’s already limited potential due to his lack of contact skills. Coupled with the Marlins’ AAA lineup, this will not go well for anyone involved.
3. Omar Narvaez will be a clear top 10 catcher in 2019
Read my thoughts on Narvaez in my Undervalued and Overvalued post.
4. Francisco Mejia will break out and hit 20 home runs in 2019
Mejia is known as a bat first catcher prospect, which can both boost and hold back his fantasy value. Obviously, the strong bat should lead to good, fantasy relevant numbers, but his lack of fielding behind the plate could lead the Padres to watch his playing time. Austin Hedges is known as a great defender, so Mejia will need to improve his defense to keep Hedges off his back.
5. Catcher will still stink in 2019 and again in 2020
Alright, so there really just isn’t much to pull from as far as bold predictions go for catchers (they pretty much all stink). However, there will be much more for the other positions. We wrap up catcher week 2019 with my full top 40 catchers tomorrow and then we’ll be on to First Base. I think I’m happier than anyone to start talking about some fantasy relevant players!