Dumpster Dives and Dynasty Finds: Second Base
Each week of draft season, I’ll be digging through the dumpster to find players for the deepest of deep league owners. I’ll also look at some prospects who have a decent acquisition cost in dynasty leagues. The projections next to the player’s name are an average of THE BAT, ATC, Steamer, and ZIPS projections systems found on Fangraphs. NFBC ADP data is from the date range 01/01/2019-02/18/2019. These players are going late in drafts but they can help your team.
Asdrubal Cabrera, TEX (ADP 264): 528 PA, 65 R, 19 HR, 67 RBI, 2 SB, .271/.330/.460/.790
Someone going around ADP 264 isn’t exactly a “dumpster dive” but I wanted to go into detail a bit on Cabrera. He’s been a reliable fantasy contributor for 8 straight years. There’s something to be said for a player who brings consistency and a full time job to the table. He also has eligibility at SS and 3B in addition to 2B. That’s a great bench bat in shallower leagues but he can be your starting second baseman if you play in a deeper one. His projections are really nice for a player this low and he’s as steady as they come.
Adam Frazier, PIT (ADP 346): 511 PA, 63 R, 9 HR, 51 RBI, 8 SB, .275/.339/.409/.746
What if I told you you could have a team’s projected leadoff hitter essentially for free? What if I told you that player was a 27-year-old who had a .277/.342/.456/.798 slash line with 10 home runs in 2018? Well, that player is Adam Frazier. He’s not a sexy pick by any means but a guy you get this low in ADP can go one of two ways: the steady contributor or the lottery ticket. Frazier is clearly the former and there’s nothing wrong with having someone with playing time in a good lineup spot in a deep league. His age means there may be some upside as well.
Luis Urias, SD (ADP 384): 576 PA, 63 R, 9 HR, 48 RBI, 6 SB, .260/.339/.378/.717
Roster Resource currently has Urias batting second and playing shortstop for the Padres this season, like Frazier, he has an everyday job. The difference between the two players is Urias’ prospect pedigree. He’s the #16 prospect for fantasy baseball according to Rotowire. He’s projected to be a high average, high on base hitter who is growing in to some moderate pop. He hit 10 home runs in 132 games between AAA and the big leagues. He seems like a good bet to have playing time and hit for average in 2019, but in dynasty leagues he’s a must own. If he’s still available in your dynasty league, I’d do what I can to draft him this year before the power surfaces.
Ian Kinsler, SD (ADP 398): 471 PA, 56 R, 13 HR, 47 RBI, 11 SB, .248/.312/.401/.713
It looks like drafters are largely ignoring the 1-2 hitters and middle infielders for the San Diego Padres. Kinsler is a former fantasy stud that has become more of just a useful player in recent year. Last year, he was hardly even that, but he continued his good contact rate that he’s had for his whole career. When he made that contact he wasn’t doing much damage, however, as he had his lowest hard hit rate in the last 3 seasons. Kinsler is going to be playing in his age 37 season, so there probably isn’t going to be some big bounce back but this late in the draft it’s worth a shot.
Ben Zobrist, CHC (ADP 413): 448 PA, 54 R, 9 HR, 48 RBI, 3 SB, .267/.351/.408/.759
Zobrist had a bit of a career resurgence in 2018 with a 123 wRC+ (his career wRC+ is 117) after posting an 83 in that department in 2017. Roster Resource currently has him as the everyday second baseman and leadoff hitter for the powerful Cubs. Given his on base ability, positional flexibility, and lineup spot, he’s a great buy this late in the draft. You know you’re going to get a steady performer who is in the lineup day in and day out.
Franklin Barreto, OAK (ADP 525): 282 PA, 35 R, 12 HR, 36 RBI, 5 SB, .235/.294/.428/.722
Barreto hasn’t had an inspiring start to his big league career. He’s a high strikeout, low walk player but he does have legit power for a middle infielder. He was starting to show some growth in the walk department (11.7%) in AAA in 2018 before being promoted to the A’s and completely losing all that growth (1.3%). He’s likely going to start the season at AAA again in 2019, but if he can show that he’s improving his plate skills, we should see him hitting bombs in Oakland this season. He’s a good buy low, post-hype prospect for dynasty leagues.
The second base position has a fairly deep pool of prospects for owners starting new dynasty leagues or for those looking add to their rosters. I stated in the first base version of this series that clubs like to keep their prospects at more premium defensive positions until they absolutely have to move them first base. Second base is somewhat similar. You’ll see a few shortstops that either can’t handle the position or are blocked move over to the keystone. Here are a few guys I’m buying.
Keston Hiura, MIL: Age 22, ETA: 2019
Hiura split 2018 at A+ and AA and should be assigned to AAA to start 2019. If he performed well to start the season he was likely in line to receive playing time at the big league level before the Brewer’s re-signed Mike Moustakas. Now, Travis Shaw will slide over to second and Hiura is once again blocked. He’s an excellent hitter though and if injury strikes the middle infield in Milwaukee, we may see Hiura in Miller Park soon.
Vidal Brujan, TB: Age 21, ETA: 2020
If you’re looking for your next building block for steals, look no further than Brujan. He’s a switch hitter with 70-grade speed who slashed .320/.403/.459/.862 with 9 HR and 55 SB between A and A+ last season. Go scoop him now in your dynasty league drafts so you can have prime Dee Gordon in a few years.
Nick Madrigal, CHW: Age 21, ETA: 2020
Madrigal is a bit of a divisive prospect among analysts. He spent most of the year at A+ after being drafted #4 overall by the White Sox. He’s known for an elite hit tool but he’s a very small player that has little power. It’s hard to say anyone is unlikely to hit for power these days but Madrigal certainly fits the bill. Even if he only hits for 10 home runs, he’s a good bet to bat over .300 and steal some bases.
Brayan Rocchio, CLE: Age 18, ETA: 2021
Rocchio is a switch hitter that signed with the Indians in 2017 out of Venezuela. He’s known for his hit tool and speed so he’s your typical second base prospect. He’s a long way off, but he has the kind of profile to be a superstar if the power ever comes.
Second base week will continue tomorrow at KMill Sports Insights with a couple of Player Spotlights!