Rise and Grind Daily Fantasy: 7/3/19

public.jpeg

Each weekday morning I’m previewing the DFS slate for the day. I’ll give my picks to click each day so you can cash. There are many things to consider before lineups lock. You’ll want to make sure each player is actually in the lineup that day so it’s important to check a couple hours before game time. I’ll try and get the Rise and Grind post updated each day as lineups come out. The other thing to seriously consider is the weather. It’s imperative to follow Kevin Roth (@KevinRothWx) on Twitter or at Roto Grinders.  He gives great updates on the weather each and every day. Again, this blog will be updated throughout the day as lineups and weather forecasts come out. For simplicity, I’ll be using DraftKings prices when I reference a player’s cost.

Yesterday’s Results

The below lineup scored 128.75 points which was good enough to cash my contest. I managed to cash even with López getting his game PPD’d thanks to Morton’s 38.75 points. Altuve (25), Bauers (22), Arenado (16), and Bregman (11) scored double digits for me.

P- Morton $10,600 P- López $5,600 C- Mathis $2,000 1B- Goldschmidt $3,600 2B- Altuve $4,200 3B- Arenado $5,400 SS- Bregman $5,000 OF- Trout $5,600 OF- Martinez $4,600 OF- Bauers $3,300

Night Slate: 14 Games

Weather

Link to Kevin Roth’s Forecast

Pitchers

My DFS strategy involves picking at least one of the top 5 pitchers for each slate. Pitchers score more points and are more consistent on a day-to-day basis than hitters. Even the best hitters can go hitless on a given day. It’s also important to check the Vegas lines to see which team is favored to win. Wins and innings pitched are the most important parts of DFS.

PREMIUM OPTIONS:

  • Chris Sale $11,800

  • Walker Buehler $10,900

  • Domingo German $10,100

  • Mike Clevinger $9,700

  • Sonny Gray $9,200

  • Kyle Gibson $9,000

MEDIUM COST OPTIONS:

  • Griffin Canning $8,700

  • Yu Darvish $8,600

  • John Means $8,400

  • Merrill Kelly $8,300

  • Adam Wainwright $8,200

  • Jason Vargas $8,000

  • Mike Fiers $8,000

  • Bryse Wilson $7,300

  • Wade Miley $7,200

  • Danny Duffy $7,100

BARGAIN BIN OPTIONS:

  • Shaun Anderson $6,800

  • Nick Pivetta $6,200

  • Ariel Jurado $6,100

  • Jhoulys Chacin $5,800

  • Peter Lambert $5,300

  • Cal Quantrill $5,000

  • Jacob Waguespack $4,000

  • Austin Pruitt $4,000

The pitching slate today is just barren in terms of value. Because of this, I’ll be biting the bullet and using Sale and Buehler.

Stay far away from Griffin Canning today. Everyone else in the middle tier is extremely fungible except Miley. You’re a certified lunatic if you use Miley.

You also need to get checked out if you use Jurado or Lambert tonight. Quantrill, Waguespack, and Pruitt have value but do you really want to use them?

Hitters

Lineup placement. That’s the Holy Grail for me when it comes to hitters in DFS. You want hitters that are batting in the top half of the order so they get more chances to score points. The score projections used come from SabreSim’s free tool that can be found on Fangraphs.

 HIGHEST SCORERS:

  • Trevor Story, SS $4,500

  • Mike Trout, OF $5,600

  • Nolan Arenado, 3B $5,400

  • Alex Bregman, 3B/SS $5,000

  • George Springer, OF $5,400

5 VALUE PLAYS:

  • Trevor Story, SS $4,500

  • Chris Davis, 1B $2,100

  • Robinson Canó, 2B $2,700

  • J.D. Martinez, OF $4,400

  • Alex Bregman, 3B/SS $5,400

My Lineup

P- Sale $11,800 P- Buehler $10,900 C- Hicks $2,100 1B- Davis $2,100 2B- Canó $2,700 3B- Arenado $5,300 SS- Story $4,500 OF- J.D. Martinez $4,400 OF- J. Martinez $3,300 OF- Bader $2,800

Gambling Picks

YEST: (1-1) -0.05u

YTD: (203-187-6) 52.1% +0.98U

These picks are all risking half units unless otherwise specified. You can follow my bets on the Action Network App using this link.

public.jpeg

Rise and Grind Daily Fantasy: 7/5/19

Rise and Grind Daily Fantasy: 7/2/19