Rise and Grind Daily Fantasy: 7/16/19

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Each weekday morning I’m previewing the DFS slate for the day. I’ll give my picks to click each day so you can cash. There are many things to consider before lineups lock. You’ll want to make sure each player is actually in the lineup that day so it’s important to check a couple hours before game time. I’ll try and get the Rise and Grind post updated each day as lineups come out. The other thing to seriously consider is the weather. It’s imperative to follow Kevin Roth (@KevinRothWx) on Twitter or at Roto Grinders.  He gives great updates on the weather each and every day. Again, this blog will be updated throughout the day as lineups and weather forecasts come out. For simplicity, I’ll be using DraftKings prices when I reference a player’s cost.

Yesterday’s Results

The below lineup managed just 70.2 points. Paxton and Musgrove combined for just 29.2. McCann and Schwarber were the only hitters in double digits. Yuck.

P- Paxton $9,300 P- Musgrove $5,800 C- McCann $4,100 1B- Belt $4,400 2B- Gennett $3,100 3B- Arenado $5,200 SS- Báez $4,100 OF- Blackmon $5,500 OF- Dahl $4,900 OF- Schwarber $3,600

Night Slate: 15 Games

Weather

Link to Kevin Roth’s Forecast

Pitchers

My DFS strategy involves picking at least one of the top 5 pitchers for each slate. Pitchers score more points and are more consistent on a day-to-day basis than hitters. Even the best hitters can go hitless on a given day. It’s also important to check the Vegas lines to see which team is favored to win. Wins and innings pitched are the most important parts of DFS.

PREMIUM OPTIONS:

  • Lance Lynn $11,200

  • Walker Buehler $10,200

  • Jordan Yamamoto $9,500

  • Andrew Heaney $9,300

  • Logan Allen $9,200

  • Michael Pineda $9,200

  • Dylan Cease $9,000

MEDIUM COST OPTIONS:

  • Anthony DeSclafani $8,900

  • C.C. Sabathia $8,800

  • Brandon Woodruff $8,700

  • Bryse Wilson $8,5000

  • Andrew Cashner $8,300

  • Marco Gonzales $8,100

  • Collin McHugh $8,000

  • Daniel Mengden $7,800

  • Jalen Beeks $7,700

  • Alex Young $7,600

  • Jack Flaherty $7,400

  • Austin Voth $7,200

  • Zach Plesac $7,000

BARGAIN BIN OPTIONS:

  • Jacob Waguespack $6,800

  • Dario Agrazal $6,600

  • Alec Mills $6,200

  • Steven Matz $6,000

  • Vincent Velasquez $5,900

  • Asher Wojciechowski $5,300

  • Peter Lambert $4,900

  • Ryan Carpenter $4,700

  • Drew Pomeranz $4,500

  • Glenn Sparkman $4,300

Nothing good once again from the premium tier of starters. I would use Buehler or Yamamoto if I had to pick one. Don’t use Pineda or Cease.

Brandon Woodruff and Jack Flaherty are my picks tonight. There’s a bit of rain in STL but it should be fine. Something to keep an eye on. Plesac would be my back up but that game has an even higher chance of getting PPD. The rest of the middle tier can be ignored. They’re all the same so just choose the cheapest if you must.

The Bargain Bin doesn’t have much tonight. Sparkman is the only one with value but I’m not crazy about him. The rest are bad, especially Waguespack.

Hitters

Lineup placement. That’s the Holy Grail for me when it comes to hitters in DFS. You want hitters that are batting in the top half of the order so they get more chances to score points. The score projections used come from SabreSim’s free tool that can be found on Fangraphs.

 HIGHEST SCORERS:

  • Trevor Story, SS $5,400

  • Nolan Arenado, 3B $5,100

  • Tyler Austin, 1B/OF $4,600

  • J.D. Martinez, OF $4,800

  • Juan Soto, OF $5,300

5 VALUE PLAYS:

  • Jose Rondon, 2B/3B $2,200

  • Yan Gomes, C $2,900

  • Tyler Austin, 1B/OF $4,600

  • Matt Carpenter, 3B $3,700

  • Richie Martin, SS $2,000

My Lineup

P- Woodruff $8,700 P- Flaherty $7,400 C- Gomes $2,900 1B- Adams $4,300 2B- López $2,600 3B- Arenado $5,100 SS- Story $5,400 OF- Bellinger $5,600 OF- Martinez $4,800 OF- Hernández $3,200

Rise and Grind Daily Fantasy: 7/19/19

Rise and Grind Daily Fantasy: 7/15/19