Rise and Grind Daily Fantasy: 6/18/19

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Each weekday morning I’m previewing the DFS slate for the day. I’ll give my picks to click each day so you can cash. There are many things to consider before lineups lock. You’ll want to make sure each player is actually in the lineup that day so it’s important to check a couple hours before game time. I’ll try and get the Rise and Grind post updated each day as lineups come out. The other thing to seriously consider is the weather. It’s imperative to follow Kevin Roth (@KevinRothWx) on Twitter or at Roto Grinders.  He gives great updates on the weather each and every day. Again, this blog will be updated throughout the day as lineups and weather forecasts come out. For simplicity, I’ll be using DraftKings prices when I reference a player’s cost.

Yesterday’s Results

The below lineup scored 136.15 points which was good enough to cash my contest. Duffy wasn’t nearly as good as I hoped but Mikolas came through with 20+ points. Lindor, Ohtani, and Trout all had big nights to lead the offense.

P- Duffy $7,500 P- Mikolas $6,400 C- Molina $3,800 1B- Bour $3,800 2B- Merrifield $4,500 3B- Suarez $4,100 SS- Lindor $5,200 OF- Trout $5,600 OF- Ohtani $5,100 OF- Upton $3,900

Night Slate: 15 Games

Weather

Link to Kevin Roth’s Forecast

Pitchers

My DFS strategy involves picking at least one of the top 5 pitchers for each slate. Pitchers score more points and are more consistent on a day-to-day basis than hitters. Even the best hitters can go hitless on a given day. It’s also important to check the Vegas lines to see which team is favored to win. Wins and innings pitched are the most important parts of DFS.

PREMIUM OPTIONS:

  • Justin Verlander $11,900

  • Clayton Kershaw $11,200

  • Cole Hamels $10,500

  • Jacob deGrom $10,300

  • Julio Teheran $9,500

  • Brandon Woodruff $9,300

  • David Price $9,100

MEDIUM COST OPTIONS:

  • Jack Flaherty $8,700

  • Tyler Skaggs $8,500

  • Jordan Yamamoto $8,300

  • Patrick Corbin $8,200

  • Marcus Stroman $8,100

  • Merrill Kelly $8,000

  • Zach Plesac $7,900

  • Adrian Sampson $7,800

  • Logan Allen $7,700

  • Michael Pineda $7,300

  • Jake Arrieta $7,300

  • Anthony DeSclafani $7,100

BARGAIN BIN OPTIONS:

  • Mitch Keller $6,900

  • Homer Bailey $6,700

  • Shaun Anderson $6,600

  • Ryan Yarbrough $6,500

  • Brett Anderson $6,200

  • Daniel Norris $5,700

  • Yusei Kikuchi $5,300

  • Ivan Nova $5,000

  • Antonio Senzatela $4,900

  • Gabriel Ynoa $4,500

You don’t want to play the Game of Aces today. These guys are not priced to buy and you’ll end up getting stuck with a poor lineup. If I had to choose one it would be Hamels but I’m much more comfortable with some other targets.

Jack Flaherty will be one of my pitchers for sure. I’m looking for him to bounce back against the Marlins in a big way. Corbin is another solid option from this tier. With the exceptions of Skaggs and Happ, the rest of this tier is full of stack targets.

Will Mitch Keller finally avoid a first inning disaster? He’s facing a bad Tigers offense but I’m not going to mess with him. Brett Anderson is a very, very nice value today but I like the upside of Flaherty a bit more. The reason I can’t use Flaherty and Anderson together is because Yusei Kikuchi is the most underpriced pitcher I’ve seen this season. His season long numbers aren’t good but he’s got a good matchup and I’m expecting big things.

Hitters

Lineup placement. That’s the Holy Grail for me when it comes to hitters in DFS. You want hitters that are batting in the top half of the order so they get more chances to score points. The score projections used come from SabreSim’s free tool that can be found on Fangraphs.

 HIGHEST SCORERS:

  • Mike Trout, OF $5,600

  • Charlie Blackmon, OF $5,800

  • J.D. Martinez, OF $5,100

  • Francisco Lindor, SS $5,300

  • Alex Bregman, 3B/SS $5,000

5 VALUE PLAYS:

  • Robinson Cano, 2B $3,100

  • Paul Goldschmidt, 1B $3,800

  • Danny Jansen, C $2,400

  • Juan Soto, OF $4,100

  • Jose Ramirez, 3B $3,900

My Lineup

P- Flaherty $8,700 P- Kikuchi $5,300 C- McCann $3,900 1B- Goldschmidt $3,800 2B- Cano $3,100 3B- Ramirez $3,900 SS- Lindor $5,300 OF- Trout $5,600 OF- Stanton $5,200 OF- Martinez $5,100

Gambling Picks

YEST: (3-2) +1.01 U

YTD: (171-151-5) 53.1% +2.73U

These picks are all risking half units unless otherwise specified. You can follow my bets on the Action Network App using this link.

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Rise and Grind Daily Fantasy: 6/24/19

Rise and Grind Daily Fantay: 6/17/19