Rise and Grind Daily Fantasy: 6/14/19

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Each weekday morning I’m previewing the DFS slate for the day. I’ll give my picks to click each day so you can cash. There are many things to consider before lineups lock. You’ll want to make sure each player is actually in the lineup that day so it’s important to check a couple hours before game time. I’ll try and get the Rise and Grind post updated each day as lineups come out. The other thing to seriously consider is the weather. It’s imperative to follow Kevin Roth (@KevinRothWx) on Twitter or at Roto Grinders.  He gives great updates on the weather each and every day. Again, this blog will be updated throughout the day as lineups and weather forecasts come out. For simplicity, I’ll be using DraftKings prices when I reference a player’s cost.

Yesterday’s Results

The below lineup scored 130.35 points last night which was good enough to cash my contest. deGrom was fine and Price scored a whopping -9.8 points but the offense picked them up. Machado and Bellinger each has 33 points while Jansen and Martinez had 19 and 14 respectively.

P- deGrom $10,400 P- Price $9,700 C- Jansen $2,300 1B- Davis $2,700 2B- Taylor $3,200 3B- Robertson $2,600 SS- Machado $4,400 OF- Bellinger $5,300 OF- Martinez $4,900 OF- Benintendi $4,500

Night Slate: 15 Games

Weather

Link to Kevin Roth’s Forecast

Pitchers

My DFS strategy involves picking at least one of the top 5 pitchers for each slate. Pitchers score more points and are more consistent on a day-to-day basis than hitters. Even the best hitters can go hitless on a given day. It’s also important to check the Vegas lines to see which team is favored to win. Wins and innings pitched are the most important parts of DFS.

PREMIUM OPTIONS:

  • Gerrit Cole $11,900

  • Max Scherzer $11,500

  • Lucas Giolito $11,100

  • Rich Hill $10,300

  • Robbie Ray $10,100

  • Blake Snell $10,000

  • Kyle Hendricks $9,800

  • Kyle Gibson $9,300

  • Trevor Richards $9,000

MEDIUM COST OPTIONS:

  • Andrew Heaney $8,800

  • Nick Pivetta $8,600

  • Daniel Ponce de Leon $8,400

  • Eduardo Rodriguez $8,000

  • Chris Bassitt $7,800

  • C.C. Sabathia $7,400

  • Adam Plutko $7,200

  • Steven Matz $7,100

BARGAIN BIN OPTIONS:

  • Max Fried $6,900

  • Zach Davies $6,800

  • Tyler Mahle $6,700

  • Steven Brault $6,400

  • Drew Pomeranz $6,200

  • Jeff Hoffman $6,100

  • Brad Keller $5,800

  • Marco Gonzales $5,300

  • Cal Quantrill $5,000

  • Jesse Chavez $5,000

  • Ryan Carpenter $4,800

  • Aaron Sanchez $4,600

  • Luis Ortiz $4,000

Cole and Scherzer are both going to ace in their matchups tonight. I prefer the cheaper Scherzer though. I’m all the way out on Giolito, Ray, and Hendricks. Richards is fine but he’s a tad pricey.

I like Heaney and Bassitt but I love Rodriguez. He’s the pitcher I’m pairing with Mad Max. Don’t use Pivetta, PdL, or Sabathia. Matz is also a good pick, I just prefer E-Rod.

Mahle is the only guy I’m considering from the Bargain Bin but I prefer the two I mentioned above for my lineup.

Hitters

Lineup placement. That’s the Holy Grail for me when it comes to hitters in DFS. You want hitters that are batting in the top half of the order so they get more chances to score points. The score projections used come from SabreSim’s free tool that can be found on Fangraphs.

 HIGHEST SCORERS:

  • Trevor Story, SS $5,500

  • Charlie Blackmon, OF $5,800

  • Nolan Arenado, 3B $5,600

  • J.D. Martinez, OF $5,000

  • David Dahl, OF $5,300

5 VALUE PLAYS:

  • Austin Hedges, C $3,000

  • Jose Ramirez, 3B $3,500

  • Manny Machado, 3B/SS $4,400

  • J.D. Martinez, OF $4,900

  • Paul Goldschmidt, 1B $3,900

My Lineup

P- Scherzer $11,500 P- Rodriguez $8,000 C- Hedges $3,000 1B- Goldschmidt $3,900 2B- Robertson $2,700 3B- Ramirez $3,500 SS- Machado $4,300 OF- Martinez $5,000 OF- Davis $4,100 OF- Jiménez $4,000

Gambling Picks

YEST: (1-2) -1.15 U

YTD: (168-148-5) 53.2% +2.22 U

I’m not a professional baseball bettor but I’ve found some success so far this season using weather and DFS models to cap games. These picks are all risking half units unless otherwise specified. You can follow my bets on the Action Network App using this link.

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Rise and Grind Daily Fantay: 6/17/19

Rise and Grind Daily Fantasy: 6/13/19