Rise and Grind Daily Fantasy: 6/10/19

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Each weekday morning I’m previewing the DFS slate for the day. I’ll give my picks to click each day so you can cash. There are many things to consider before lineups lock. You’ll want to make sure each player is actually in the lineup that day so it’s important to check a couple hours before game time. I’ll try and get the Rise and Grind post updated each day as lineups come out. The other thing to seriously consider is the weather. It’s imperative to follow Kevin Roth (@KevinRothWx) on Twitter or at Roto Grinders.  He gives great updates on the weather each and every day. Again, this blog will be updated throughout the day as lineups and weather forecasts come out. For simplicity, I’ll be using DraftKings prices when I reference a player’s cost.

Yesterday’s Results

The below lineup scored 125.25 points last night which was good enough to cash my contest. Syndergaard had a big night and Fried didn’t hurt me. Jansen, Ramirez, Yelich, and Cruz and had double digit days.

P- Syndergaard $8,900 P- Fried $7,100 C- Jansen $2,000 1B- Hoskins $4,200 2B- Kipnis $3,100 3B- Ramirez $3,900 SS- Lindor $5,700 OF- Yelich $5,900 OF- Betts $4,400 OF- Cruz $4,400

Night Slate: 9 Games

Weather

Link to Kevin Roth’s Forecast

Pitchers

My DFS strategy involves picking at least one of the top 5 pitchers for each slate. Pitchers score more points and are more consistent on a day-to-day basis than hitters. Even the best hitters can go hitless on a given day. It’s also important to check the Vegas lines to see which team is favored to win. Wins and innings pitched are the most important parts of DFS.

PREMIUM OPTIONS:

  • Chris Sale $10,900

  • Hyun-Jin Ryu $10,400

  • Charlie Morton $9,900

  • Mike Minor $9,400

MEDIUM COST OPTIONS:

  • German Marquez $8,700

  • Griffin Canning $8,400

  • Anibal Sanchez $8,100

  • Masahiro Tanaka $7,900

  • Jason Vargas $7,600

  • Jerad Eickhoff $7,100

BARGAIN BIN OPTIONS:

  • Sandy Alcantara $6,900

  • Kevin Gausman $6,400

  • Taylor Clarke $6,300

  • Yu Darvish $6,200

  • Michael Wacha $6,000

  • Joe Musgrove $5,200

  • Tanner Anderson $4,000

Sale has been on fire recently and he’s a must own in cash games today. He’s the only guy from the premium guys that I like. Mike Minor is actually a stack target from the premium tier.

I’m not going to use anyone from the medium tier. I just don’t see any value there tonight. Jason Vargas is going to get shelled tonight.

I really like Alcantara, Gausman, ,Wacha, and Musgrove a lot from the Bargain Bin. I’m going to use Alcantara along with Chris Sale tonight.

Hitters

Lineup placement. That’s the Holy Grail for me when it comes to hitters in DFS. You want hitters that are batting in the top half of the order so they get more chances to score points. The score projections used come from SabreSim’s free tool that can be found on Fangraphs.

 HIGHEST SCORERS:

  • Cody Bellinger, OF $5,100

  • Anthony Rendon, OF $5,600

  • Joc Pederson, OF $4,400

  • Trea Turner, SS $5,000

  • Luke Voit, SS $4,400

5 VALUE PLAYS:

  • Jose Rondon, 2B/SS $2,600

  • Khris Davis, OF $3,100

  • Carlos Gonzalez, OF $3,000

  • Wellington Castillo, C $2,900

  • Rhys Hoskins, 1B $4,200

My Lineup

P- Sale $10,900 P- Alcantara $6,900 C- Lucroy $2,500 1B- Hoskins $4,200 2B- Sanchez $2,600 3B- Muncy $2,700 SS- Turner $5,000 OF- Dahl $5,300 OF- Bryant $5,100 OF- Gonzalez $3,000

Gambling Picks

YEST: (4-4) -0.03 U

YTD: (159-137-5) 53.7% +4.71 U

I’m not a professional baseball bettor but I’ve found some success so far this season using weather and DFS models to cap games. These picks are all risking half units unless otherwise specified. You can follow my bets on the Action Network App using this link.

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Rise and Grind Daily Fantasy: 6/11/19

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