Rise and Grind Daily Fantasy: 5/22/19

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Each weekday morning I’m previewing the DFS slate for the day. I’ll give my picks to click each day so you can cash. There are many things to consider before lineups lock. You’ll want to make sure each player is actually in the lineup that day so it’s important to check a couple hours before game time. I’ll try and get the Rise and Grind post updated each day as lineups come out. The other thing to seriously consider is the weather. It’s imperative to follow Kevin Roth (@KevinRothWx) on Twitter or at Roto Grinders.  He gives great updates on the weather each and every day. Again, this blog will be updated throughout the day as lineups and weather forecasts come out. For simplicity, I’ll be using DraftKings prices when I reference a player’s cost.

Yesterday’s Results

The below lineup scored a total of 155.30 points yesterday which was good enough to cash my contests. Verlander led the way with 42.8 points and Quintana chipped in with 18.5. The top hitters were Anderson, Hernández, Trout, and Gallo. Very solid overall lineup.

P- Verlander $11,300 P- Quintana $7,900 C- Mathis $2,200 1B- Vogelbach $4,900 2B- Hernández $3,300 3B- Anderson $2,900 SS- Crawford $2,900 OF- Trout $5,600 OF- Gallo $5,500 OF- Duggar $3,500

Main Slate: 10 Games

Weather

Winds are blowing out in Wrigley today. Get Cubs hitters in your lineups.

Pitchers

My DFS strategy involves picking at least one of the top 5 pitchers for each slate. Pitchers score more points and are more consistent on a day-to-day basis than hitters. Even the best hitters can go hitless on a given day. It’s also important to check the Vegas lines to see which team is favored to win. Wins and innings pitched are the most important parts of DFS.

PREMIUM OPTIONS:

  • Gerrit Cole $12,000

  • Max Scherzer $11,100

  • Jacob deGrom $10,500

  • Rich Hill $10,200

  • Cole Hamels $9,500

  • Jon Gray $9,200

MEDIUM COST OPTIONS:

  • Martin Perez $8,700

  • Max Fried $8,500

  • Rick Porcello $8,200

  • Yonny Chirinos $7,800

  • C.C. Sabathia $7,400

  • Aaron Sanchez $7,200

BARGAIN BIN OPTIONS:

  • Daniel Norris $6,900

  • Cole Irvin $6,800

  • Nick Kingham $6,600

  • Jeff Samardzija $6,400

  • Jose Ureña $6,200

  • Matt Harvey $5,500

  • Dan Straily $4,800

  • Ivan Nova $4,400

Gerrit Cole gets top billing today ahead of two former Cy Young winners. I don’t agree with this pricing as I have Scherzer number one and deGrom number two today. Scherzer is my pick for the night. Avoid Hill, Hamels, and Gray all together.

The middle tier is disgusting today. I don’t like a single pitcher in this group. In fact, I’d look to stack against the Rays opener and Chirinos. Max Fried would be my pick if I had to choose someone from this tier.

The Bargain Bin brings big time stack targets in Irivin and Straily but I’ve actually found my second pitcher for the night in this group. Jose Ureña has a lot of value tonight against the lowly Tigers so I’ll be using him.

Hitters

Lineup placement. That’s the Holy Grail for me when it comes to hitters in DFS. You want hitters that are batting in the top half of the order so they get more chances to score points. The score projections used come from SabreSim’s free tool that can be found on Fangraphs.

 HIGHEST SCORERS:

  • Luke Voit, 1B $5,300

  • Gary Sanchez, C $5,500

  • Charlie Blackmon, OF $5,600

  • Mike Trout, OF $5,700

  • Alex Bregman, 3B $5,500

5 VALUE PLAYS:

  • Zack Cozart, 3B/SS $2,100

  • Rhys Hoskins, 1B $4,100

  • Andrew McCutchen, OF $4,000

  • Starlin Castro, 2B $2,900

  • Travis d’Arnaud, C $2,300

My Lineup

P- Scherzer $11,100 P- Ureña $6,200 C- Alfaro $3,700 1B- Hoskins $4,100 2B- Castro $2,900 3B- Franco $3,400 SS- Baez $5,000 OF- Bryant $5,400 OF- Harper $4,200 OF- McCutchen $4,000

Gambling Picks

YEST: (5-2) +1.28 U

YTD: (114-67-4) 63% +21.65 U

I’m not a professional baseball bettor but I’ve found some success so far this season using weather and DFS models to cap games. These picks are all risking half units unless otherwise specified. You can follow my bets on the Action Network App using this link.

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Rise and Grind Daily Fantasy: 5/23/19

Rise and Grind Daily Fantasy: 5/21/19