Rise and Grind Daily Fantasy: 5/20/19

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Each weekday morning I’m previewing the DFS slate for the day. I’ll give my picks to click each day so you can cash. There are many things to consider before lineups lock. You’ll want to make sure each player is actually in the lineup that day so it’s important to check a couple hours before game time. I’ll try and get the Rise and Grind post updated each day as lineups come out. The other thing to seriously consider is the weather. It’s imperative to follow Kevin Roth (@KevinRothWx) on Twitter or at Roto Grinders.  He gives great updates on the weather each and every day. Again, this blog will be updated throughout the day as lineups and weather forecasts come out. For simplicity, I’ll be using DraftKings prices when I reference a player’s cost.

Yesterday’s Results

The below lineup scored a total of 138.80 points yesterday which was good enough to cash my contests. Bieber led the way with an unreal 56.25 points. Syndergaard disappointed with just 13.55. Jansen, Peraza, and Bellinger all hit home runs.

P- Syndergaard $10,400 P- Bieber $9,000 C- Jansen $2,600 1B- Choi $3,900 2B- Harrison $2,900 3B- Ramírez $4,100 SS- Peraza $2,800 OF- Bellinger $5,700 OF- Martinez $5,100 OF- Gonzalez $3,500

Main Slate: 8 Games

Weather

No issues

Pitchers

My DFS strategy involves picking at least one of the top 5 pitchers for each slate. Pitchers score more points and are more consistent on a day-to-day basis than hitters. Even the best hitters can go hitless on a given day. It’s also important to check the Vegas lines to see which team is favored to win. Wins and innings pitched are the most important parts of DFS.

PREMIUM OPTIONS:

  • Patrick Corbin $10,900

  • Mike Minor $9,700

  • Chris Paddack $9,500

  • Mike Soroka $9,200

MEDIUM COST OPTIONS:

  • Brad Peacock $8,900

  • Yu Darvish $8,600

  • Luke Weaver $8,500

  • Jake Odorizzi $8,200

  • J.A. Happ $8,000

  • Andrew Suarez $7,800

  • Jake Arrieta $7,800

  • Felix Peña $7,500

  • Andrew Gagnon $7,100

BARGAIN BIN OPTIONS:

  • Mike Leake $6,600

  • Andrew Cashner $5,600

Corbin is the next and most valuable starter on the slate today. He’s a lock to be in my lineup. Minor and Soroka aren’t worth the price of admission. Paddack is a solid value but I like other, cheaper options.

Peacock and Weaver would be good plays from the medium tier. I particularly like Peacock against the White Sox. I can’t play Darvish until he stops walking the world. I’m out on Odorizzi, Suarez, Peña, and Gagnon. Happ is fairly priced but I’m taking Jake Arrieta as much second pitcher. He has a lot of value at Wrigley Field tonight.

Stack Rangers against Mike Leake.

Hitters

Lineup placement. That’s the Holy Grail for me when it comes to hitters in DFS. You want hitters that are batting in the top half of the order so they get more chances to score points. The score projections used come from SabreSim’s free tool that can be found on Fangraphs.

 HIGHEST SCORERS:

  • Alex Bregman, 3B $5,600

  • Joey Gallo, OF $5,700

  • Luke Voit, 1B $5,200

  • Ronald Acuña Jr, OF $4,600

  • Gary Sanchez, C $5,200

5 VALUE PLAYS:

  • Asdrubal Cabrera, 3B $3,800

  • Nomar Mazara, OF $4,100

  • Zack Cozart, 3B/SS $2,200

  • Yan Gomes, C $2,700

  • Brian Dozier, 2B $3,100

My Lineup

P- Corbin $10,900 P- Arrieta $7,800 C- Gomes $2,700 1B- Morales $3.400 2B- Alberto $2,900 3B- Cabrera $3,800 SS- Beckham $3,500 OF- Gallo $5,700 OF- Choo $4,900 OF- Mazara $4,100

Gambling Picks

YEST: (4-0) +3.50 U

YTD: (105-65-3) 61.8% +18.23 U

I’m not a professional baseball bettor but I’ve found some success so far this season using weather and DFS models to cap games. These picks are all risking half units unless otherwise specified. You can follow my bets on the Action Network App using this link

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Rise and Grind Daily Fantasy: 5/21/19

Rise and Grind Daily Fantasy: 5/17/19