Rise and Grind Daily Fantasy: 5/13/19

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Each weekday morning I’m previewing the DFS slate for the day. I’ll give my picks to click each day so you can cash. When playing DFS there are many things to consider before lineups lock. You’ll want to make sure each player is actually in the lineup that day so it’s important to check a couple hours before game time. I’ll try and get the Rise and Grind post updated each day as lineups come out. The other thing to seriously consider is the weather. It’s imperative to follow Kevin Roth (@KevinRothWx) on Twitter or at Roto Grinders.  He gives great updates on the weather each and every day. Again, this blog will be updated throughout the day as lineups and weather forecasts come out. For simplicity, I’ll be using DraftKings prices when I reference a player’s cost.

Yesterday’s Results

The below lineup scored a total of 98.45 points yesterday which wasn’t good enough to cash my contests.

P- Snell $10,700 P- Sanchez $6,900 C- Jansen $2,500 1B- Goodrum $3,600 2B- Beckham $3,500 3B- Guerrero Jr. $3,500 SS- Galvis $3,600 OF- Trout $5,800 OF- Betts $5,200 OF- Harper $4,700

Main Slate: 6 Games

Weather

No issues.

Pitchers

My DFS strategy involves picking at least one of the top 5 pitchers for each slate. Pitchers score more points and are more consistent on a day-to-day basis than hitters. Even the best hitters can go hitless on a given day. It’s also important to check the Vegas lines to see which team is favored to win. Wins and innings pitched are the most important parts of DFS.

PREMIUM OPTIONS:

  • Robbie Ray $10,000

  • Jose Berrios $9,400

  • Aaron Nola $9,200

  • Shane Bieber $9,000

MEDIUM COST OPTIONS:

  • Matt Boyd $8,800

  • Brad Peacock $8,500

  • Jonathan Loaisiga $8,400

  • Mike Fiers $8,000

  • Yusei Kikuchi $7,500

  • Tyler Skaggs $7,300

  • Freddy Peralta $7,000

BARGAIN BIN OPTIONS:

  • Nick Kingham $6,500

Robbie Ray is fairly priced tonight but there are more valuable options. Berrios isn’t one of those more valuable options however. I’m avoiding him completely tonight. I’m going with a Nola/Bieber play tonight as they have the most value on the slate.

You can cross Boyd, Fiers, and Skaggs off your board immediately.

You can ignore the Bargain Bin tonight.

Hitters

Lineup placement. That’s the Holy Grail for me when it comes to hitters in DFS. You want hitters that are batting in the top half of the order so they get more chances to score points. The score projections used come from SabreSim’s free tool that can be found on Fangraphs.

 HIGHEST SCORERS:

  • Mike Trout, OF $5,500

  • David Peralta, OF $5,100

  • Alex Bregman, 3B $4,600

  • Eduardo Escobar, SS/3B $5,000

  • Francisco Lindor, SS $4,700

5 VALUE PLAYS:

  • Khris Davis, OF $4,000

  • Zack Cozart, 3B/SS $2,200

  • Travis Shaw, 3B $2,600

  • Shohei Ohtani, OF $4,100

  • Francisco Cervelli, C $2,800

Lineup Updates

My Lineup

P- Nola $9,200 P- Bieber $9,000 C- Cervelli $2,900 1B- Cabrera $3,100 2B- Pinder $3,700 3B- Ramirez $4,300 SS- Semien $3,900 OF- Trout $5,500 OF- Haniger $4,500 OF- Davis $4,000

Gambling Picks

Weekend: (15-1) +7.18 U

YTD: (82-53-3) +11.85 U

I’m not a professional baseball bettor but I’ve found some success so far this season using weather and DFS models to cap games. These picks are all risking half units unless otherwise specified. You can follow my bets on the Action Network App using this link.

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Rise and Grind Daily Fantasy: 5/14/19

Rise and Grind Daily Fantasy: 5/10/19